West Ham vs. Brighton tip, prognosis & odds 12/27/2020 - Premier League Free soccer tips
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West Ham vs. Brighton tip, prognosis & odds 12/27/2020 - Premier League
While the race for the championship in England has turned out to be very exciting and balanced this season, there is already a worrying trend for two teams in the fight against the threat of relegation. Sheffield United and newly promoted West Brom have only collected nine points together, less than Fulham, who are currently third from bottom in the Premier League table with ten points.
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Meanwhile, the Seagulls, who are facing an uncomfortable task in the capital on Sunday afternoon, stand above the line. Between West Ham and Brighton, the odds of the best bookmakers are relatively clear in favor of the hosts, who are tenth still playing a strong season and are currently only four points behind even dreaming of participating in the Europa League.
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Even if the engine of the Hammers recently stuttered with only one point from two games and a high defeat to Chelsea, it is absolutely understandable that the team of coach David Moyes is considered the favorite one day after Christmas. The home game against the relegation candidate will not be a sure-fire success, especially since the Londoners have never won against Brighton in the Premier League.
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In addition, our forecast between West Ham and Brighton is also influenced by the fact that the guests performed very well over long stretches of the season, but rarely rewarded themselves for it. With this in mind, we do not think it is unreasonable that the Potter elf is returning from the capital with something countable. Even an away win is possible in our eyes.
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West Ham - Statistics & Current Form
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With six wins, three draws and five defeats, West Ham United's record this season is absolutely impressive. After 14 game days, the Hammers have scored exactly half of all possible points (21 of 42) and have already driven away the relegation specter that had been annoying last year. With currently only five points behind the four-placed Everton, one dreams of completely different spheres in the capital.
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In order to really establish oneself in the upper half of the table, however, an increase in performance compared to the last two games is needed. If the Irons fell short of their own expectations in the disappointing 1: 1 at home against Crystal Palace, the 0: 3 in the derby at Chelsea FC, in which the Moyes team did not manage a single shot on goal, confirmed the impression that the A great spirit of optimism seems to have been lost in the last few weeks.
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West Ham's defense was on the decline recently
Above all, the defensive is currently causing the native Scots a headache in the West Ham coaching bench. Nine goals conceded in the last five games and not a single clean sheet are disappointing figures when you consider that goalkeeper Fabianski was able to score four times in the first nine match days.
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Between West Ham and Brighton, a tip on the home win should therefore be taken with caution. The fact that the Hammers have had a tough time against teams from the table basement so far this season (0: 2 at home against Newcastle, 1: 1 against Crystal Palace or 1: 2 at Arsenal FC) also means that the odds for the fourth three in the eighth home game 2020/21 does not contain a particularly attractive value.
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David Moyes, who incidentally won his last game as a coach against Brighton in 2002, when he was at Preston North End, will continue to be without Masuaku and Lanzini on Sunday afternoon. With regard to the two difficult upcoming away tasks at Everton and Southampton, we also believe that the coach will not take any unnecessary risk with ailing striker Antonio. For him, the ex-Frankfurt Haller should remain in the starting line-up.
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Expected formation of West Ham:
Fabianski; Coufal, Balbuena, Ogbonna, Cresswell; Rice, Soucek; Fornals, Benrahma, Bowen; Haller
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Brighton - Statistics & Current Form
Brighton Hove & Albion fans are really not to be envied right now. Your team is currently only in 16th place and was only able to collect a meager twelve points from the 14 games played so far. The Seagulls were only able to celebrate two wins, even though they were 1-0 up in almost half of all matches or at least once in the lead during the game.
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That there is a lack of efficiency and cleverness is also made clear by the fact that Graham Potter's team fired more shots than Everton, Tottenham or Southampton on the first 14 match days, but only 40% of them actually went into the opposing body ( League low!).
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Brighton much stronger than the table suggests
The interesting statistics that the blue-whites have already conceded 22 goals, although the calculated value of the "expected conceded goals" is 14.7, underlines our thesis that the Seagulls are much stronger than the table situation and the results the bottom line.
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In connection with the already mentioned fact that the relegation candidate from the most famous English seaside resort has never lost to the upcoming opponent in the Premier League, a forecast should be kept in mind between West Ham and Brighton.
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The lousy balance sheet in the capital doesn't change that either. In London, Hove & Albion only won three of their last 19 guest appearances. But: Almost half of all hits result from matches against the Hammers! If Brighton can defensively build on the most recent performances against Sheffield (1: 1) and Fulham (0: 0) and go one step further offensively, we consider an away three-point to be realistic. Andone, Izquierdo and Lamptey will definitely be missing.
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Expected formation of Brighton:
Sanchez; White, Dunk, Webster; Veltman, Bissouma, Lallana, March; Maupay, Connolly, Trossard
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Direct comparison - H2H balance
Since 2017 there have been six games between West Ham and Brighton in the Premier League. With three wins and three draws, the Seagulls lead the direct comparison. Across all competitions, the blue-whites have only lost one of their most recent five away games at the Irons (two successes, two draws). In the new London Stadium, Brighton is still completely unbeaten. Last season, the teams drew a tie in the first and second half of the season (3: 3, 1: 1).
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Bet base forecast & West Ham - Brighton tip
On paper, on Sunday afternoon from 3:15 p.m. in the London Stadium, the tenth of the classification and the 16th stand against each other. It is therefore not really surprising that between West Ham and Brighton the betting odds imply a favorite role for the host. In the course of the season so far, the Hammers have collected nine more points and won three times as often as the guests from the seaside resort of Brighton.
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The fact that we see the Seagulls in the capital as anything but without a chance has to do with the fact that the Potter-Elf plays a decent football and has so far been able to keep up with any opponent. The only thing missing is the necessary efficiency. Nevertheless, the relegation candidate naturally has the quality to bring the Irons to their knees in 90 minutes.
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Although the Londoners have already won three home games this season, the latest performance curve has been pointing downwards. In connection with the fact that the Hammers have never won against the Seagulls in the Premier League and in the recent past - also at home - they have had a hard time living up to their own favorite role, we think a surprise is possible.
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We try between West Ham and Brighton with a tip on the away win and secure it on the two-way market. In the event of a tie, we will be refunded the stake of five units. The tested bookmaker Betsson offers a top rate of 2.31 for the DNB (2), which promises a very lucrative value.
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You can find further analyzes and recommendations for the Premier League in our betting base section "Football England Tips". Additional quotations can be looked up in the website's own odds comparison.
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