Sweden vs. Poland: Tips, Forecast & Odds - 23.06.2021 - EUROPE: European Championship 2021
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Sweden vs. Poland: Tips, Forecast & Odds - 23.06.2021 - EUROPE: European Championship 2021
The group stage at the EM 2021 will be concluded on Wednesday. Before the DFB-Elf play the last preliminary round game at 9 p.m., both games in Group E will kick off at 6 p.m. The starting situation in this group is extremely exciting, because after two games, all four teams still have realistic chances of reaching the round of 16. Sweden could fix the surprising group win against Poland with a win.
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After the Swedes were able to wrest a draw in Spain in their first game with destructive football, a penalty hit in the game against Slovakia gave the Scandinavians their first victory. With four points, the Swedes also have the best chance of remaining in the tournament in the event of a defeat. The starting situation for the Polish national team is completely different, because for Lewandowski & Co only a complete success counts.
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There is currently only one meter on the credit side of Poland. Should Spain finally reinforce the role of favorites in the parallel game and celebrate the mandatory victory against Slovakia, Poland would overtake Sweden even with a victory in the Krestovsky Stadium in Saint Petersburg thanks to the direct comparison won and get the EM 2021 round of 16 ticket.
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The bookmakers between Sweden and Poland are currently offering odds around 2.50-2.60 for this tip. The betting odds for the Polish success are slightly below those for a victory for the "Tre Konor” from Sweden.
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Sweden - statistics & current form
The Andersson-Elf's first game at this European Football Championship was by no means advertising for football. But the end justifies the means and the point win against Spain could still be of great importance in the fight for the round of 16 in the final accounts. Normally, four points should be enough to reach the round of 16 as one of the four best thirds in the group.
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Since the Swedish group E is the penultimate group to be completed, the Scandinavians can possibly be confirmed as a fixed promoter before the game starts. A quite comfortable situation, which may mean that Sweden will rotate a little to save strength for the rest of the tournament.
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Sweden almost only hits two in half
In the game against Slovakia, Sweden showed that the team is capable of playing football. As the game continued, the Scandinavians took over more and more command. Above all, ex-BVB player Alexander Isak played the opposing defense several times in a dizzy way. In the end, no less than six successful dribbles were on his account, even Gary Lineker was full of praise after the game.
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His pass to Mainz attacker Robin Quaison led to the penalty, which Emil Forsberg converted confidently. The Leipzig player has thus scored the last two goals in major events (1-0 against Switzerland at the 2018 World Cup).
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Much more interesting, however, is the statistic that no fewer than 23 of the 26 Swedish goalscoring successes at the European Football Championships were only achieved in the second round.
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Strong defense as a guarantee of success
The goalless draw against Spain at the start was in some ways due to the Iberians' lack of creativity. Sweden was able to keep the rooms tight with relatively little effort and left Spain no room to develop. In general, "playing against the ball" is one of the Swedes' great strengths. The "Tre Konor" are aware of their qualities and try not to participate in the concert of the greats, but rather to attach importance to the compact defensive.
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Sweden held the zero in five of the last seven games at major events (European Championship / World Cup). For the final group game between Sweden and Poland, this underlines the forecast that both teams will not score. But even under 2.5 is definitely an interesting betting option.
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Expected formation of Sweden:
Olsen - Augustinsson, Danielson, Lindelöf, Lustig - Forsberg, Ekdal, Olsson, Larsson - Berg, Isak
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A Lewy hit worth discussing gives Poland hope
A final was already on the program for Poland in Seville, because with another defeat Poland would not have had a chance at the round of 16. With a good deal of luck, however, this worst case could be prevented.
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The Morata leadership equalized superstar Lewandowski, but you could have decided on a striker foul before his header. A few moments later there was a penalty for the Spaniards, but Gerard Moreno only put it on the bar and goal scorer Morata missed the margin miserably.
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So it stayed at the 1-1 draw, which was certainly happy, but Poland showed a much more appealing performance than the Swedes. The Sousa-Elf tried to play football themselves and pressed the Spaniards again and again and thus came to useful goals.
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Nonetheless, Poland's catastrophic record, which has only won one of the last nine international matches (four draws, four defeats), has been extended. The only win should not be rated too high, after all, it was against football dwarf Andorra.
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Never scored more than one goal
The final group game will be Poland's 14th game in a European football championship. The 13 games so far have one thing in common, because Poland has never scored more than one goal in a final match.
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Despite super striker Robert Lewandowski, the Polish offensive often has to struggle with jamming. The reasons for the few Polish goals are, on the one hand, that "Lewy” is often left to fend for themselves, and on the other hand, Poland often acts very, very defensively. Nevertheless, Lewandowski has collected 14 points scorer in his last twelve international matches. The bookmaker Bet365 tested by us delivers betting odds of 2.20 for Sweden vs. Poland for a hit by the world footballer.
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Expected formation of Poland:
Szczesny - Glik, Bednarek, Bereszynski - Puchacz, Moder, Klich, Jozwiak - Zielinski, Swiderski - Lewandowski
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Sweden - Poland: Direct Comparison / H2H
At the end of Group E, goals are guaranteed in this duel. Sweden and Poland have faced each other a total of 26 times so far, the tip on at least one goal was correct, a game has never ended goalless.
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Otherwise, if you take a closer look at the head-to-head, it is noticeable that the Swedes have a clear mental advantage. The Scandinavians have won no fewer than nine of the last eleven direct duels. This is put into perspective, however, by the fact that the last international match took place on June 5, 2004. Poland youngster Kacper Kozlowski, who replaced Jude Bellingham as the youngest European Championship player, was just eight months old at the time. The H2H is therefore not a real yardstick.
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Betting base forecast & Sweden Sweden - Poland Poland tip
Basically, there are no longer any doubts about Sweden's progress and already on Monday only betting odds of 1.01 were offered for this. After winning two points at the beginning, Sweden can certainly start the press a little and has nothing / hardly anything to fear.
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For this reason alone, in Sweden vs. Poland, the tip on the Scandinavians should be refrained from. With a final conviction, the yellow-blue will hardly play for victory.
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The situation is completely different with the Poles, who don't need a slide rule or anything, but know that only a win counts to fix their progress. But the victory should also represent a 100% guarantee that Lewandowski & Co's journey will continue.
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Poland's head coach Paulo Sousa has to accept a lot of criticism, but Poland's performance (especially in the second half) against Spain was very convincing. With such an idea, in the duel Sweden against Poland, only the prediction can be made on the red-whites.
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The odds for this bet appear to be significantly too high, especially due to the relatively fixed Sweden qualification for the round of 16. A 2.55 offers great value here.
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