Spain vs. Portugal: tips, prognosis & odds - 04.06.2021 - WELT: International friendly games
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Spain vs. Portugal: tips, prognosis & odds - 04.06.2021 - WELT: International friendly games
One of the most famous test matches these days will take place on Friday evening in the stadium of the newly crowned Spanish champions, in the Wanda Metropolitano of Atletico Madrid. In front of over 20,000 spectators, Spain and Portugal face each other. According to the odds, the bookmakers see slight advantages with the home side, although the bottom line is that an exciting and high-quality match is expected.
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For both teams it is the last real endurance test against a respective co-favorite for the EM 2021. Although both the Spaniards and the Portuguese will play another friendly game in the coming week, this interesting comparison of the border neighbors is of particular importance .
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What should definitely be taken into account for the forecast between Spain and Portugal is the fact that the home side have a particularly young squad at the start and qualitatively they may not be as strong as the defending champion.
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However, since it is a friendly game with a test game character, both coaches will in all likelihood try out a lot and especially give the players who have played a lot in the last few weeks a break. Because both teams did not know how to convince one hundred percent in the current calendar year, the tip on the outcome of the game between Spain and Portugal is quite difficult. More value, however, probably includes the bet on the higher odds of the European champions from 2016.
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Spain - statistics & current form
Between 2008 and 2012 the Spanish national team won three major tournaments. "La Roja” was crowned European champion twice and crowned the outstanding era under Luis Aragones and Vicente del Bosque with the 2010 World Cup. Since then, the Iberians have been quiet. In the following three tournaments in 2014, 2016 and 2018, two rounds of 16 were the maximum of emotions.
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Before the start of EURO 2021, the Spanish prospects are once again difficult to assess. On the one hand, the technically so-versed southern Europeans must always be expected. On the other hand, the Spaniards' squad at this EM is perhaps as weak as it has been in a long time. Not only the fact that various veterans like Sergio Ramos or Jesus Navas are not available or have not been nominated clearly shows that coach Luis Enrique has once again initiated a change and will rely on many youngsters.
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Lack of consistency as a shortcoming of the young Spanish team
The former coach of FC Barcelona definitely has to plan for minor setbacks. For example, he has only won five of eleven international matches with the Spaniards since 2019. On the other hand, there were five draws and one defeat. Absolute highlights like the 6-0 win against Germany alternated with dropouts like the 1-1 draw at home against Greece or the less than convincing successes in the World Cup qualification against Georgia (2-1) and Kosovo (3-1).
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A few days before the start of the tournament, when the Iberians meet Sweden at the start, it is therefore difficult to assess which performance the "Furia Roja” can display against the reigning European champion. In view of the poorly rehearsed team and the assumption that many supplementary players could get a chance, a prediction of a potential home win between Spain and Portugal is fraught with high risk.
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Expected formation of Spain:
Sanchez; M Llorente, Garcia, P Torres, Alba; Koke, Busquets, Pedri; F Torres, Moreno, Oyarzabal
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Portugal - statistics & current form
For Cristiano Ronaldo and his colleagues, the mission to defend the title begins on June 15 against Hungary. There must be no slow feeling into the tournament, as two other top-class players are waiting in Group F with Germany and France. Consequently, it will be of enormous importance for coach Fernando Santos, who has formed an absolute top team from the Portuguese, that many automatisms are rehearsed in the two upcoming preparatory games.
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The fact that there are higher odds on the away success of the Seleção das Quinas in the duel between Spain and Portugal comes as a surprise, as the world number five certainly has one of the best squads at the finals.
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Portugal lost only one of their last 21 internationals
Players like CR7, Joao Felix, Bruno Fernandes, Bernardo Silva or Diogo Jota are under contract with the most well-known club teams in Europe and have gained a lot of experience in recent years, which helps them enormously on the one hand at the tournament and on the other hand at the friendly game in Madrid could.
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Although the Santos-Elf could not completely convince in the three qualifying games for the 2022 World Cup this year, they still managed to score a solid seven points. The bottom line was that only one of the last 21 international matches was lost from the perspective of the southern Europeans. Since the beginning of 2018 there have been a total of three defeats, which clearly indicate that the "Tugas" in the Spanish capital have to be expected to do a lot on Friday evening.
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In terms of personnel, it will certainly be interesting to see which starting XI will send Fernando Santos into the race. For example, we cannot rule out that Ruben Dias or Bernardo Silva, two supporters under normal circumstances, may not be part of the regular formation after the lost Champions League final less than a week ago. In any case, there is no lack of options, as the European champion has almost equivalent alternatives with veteran Pepe, Joao Moutinho or Danilo.
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Expected formation of Portugal:
Lopes; Cancelo, Pepe, Fonte, Mendes; Danilo, Fernandes, Moutinho; Iota, Ronaldo, Felix
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Direct comparison / H2H
The two neighboring nations have played 37 matches at international level so far. With 16 wins versus 15 draws and only six defeats, "La Roja” leads the direct comparison. Much more relevant, however, are the most recent direct duels, which took place on a friendly basis in 2020 and at the World Cup in Russia in 2018. Both games ended in a draw (0-0, 3-3). A 3.45 in the top for the next X of these selection teams can be tapped on the Unibet app on Friday evening.
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Betting base forecast & Spain Spain - Portugal Portugal tip
Although it is only a friendly game and the upcoming European Championship is already casting its shadow, we are looking forward to the duel between Spain and Portugal on Friday evening at the Wanda Metropolitano. Measured by the betting odds, a match with few goals can be assumed, which is underlined by the higher ratings of over 2.5 goals. However, we expect a match in which there will be at least three hits.
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If we had to commit ourselves to a winner, the Portuguese would be more likely to choose, who have the higher quality and more experienced squad. In addition, the European champions from 2016 only lost one of the last 21 international matches (!). Given the important opening game against the Hungarians, coach Fernando Santos will probably send a starting line-up that is pretty close to next week's. His counterpart Luis Enrique, on the other hand, trusts the young guard and strives for another change.
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As a result, we see the tip on the away win between Spain and Portugal as the more attractive value. In order to minimize the risk a little, it is advisable to bet on the two-way market, so that in the event of a not unlikely draw, the stake of six units is refunded. We can currently find the top odds of 2.25 at the tested bookmaker ComeOn. Alternatively, you can also bet via the new TipWin app.
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