Red star Belgrade vs. AC Milan tip, prognosis & odds - Europa League 2021 02/18/2021 Free soccer tips
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Red star Belgrade - AC Milan tip, prognosis & odds - Europa League 2021
There are still exactly 61 matches to be played before it can be determined which team has won the Europa League in 2021. It is already clear that there will definitely be a new winner, as the reigning defending champion from Seville is known to still be represented in the Champions League. One of the hottest candidates for overall victory is AC Milan. Only the three English clubs Tottenham, Manchester United and Arsenal are currently given better chances.
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The first hurdle in the knockout round is tough, because the Rossoneri face the Serbian top club Crvena Zvezda in the sixteenth finals. Before the game on Thursday evening between Red Star Belgrade and AC Milan, the odds are relatively clear in favor of the Italians, who the best bookmakers trust to set the course for the round of the last 16 in the first leg.
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The fact that the away game in Eastern Europe in particular will not be a sure-fire success for coach Pioli's team is underlined, among other things, by the fact that the Belgraders scored seven out of a possible nine points at home in the group stage and conceded only two goals.
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In addition, between Red Star Belgrade and AC Milan, the forecast should include the fact that Ibrahimovic and Co. have recently revealed weaknesses in the league. In addition, the important city derby against Inter is already on the program at the weekend, which is why one should be more careful with predictions of a sovereign away win on Thursday evening.
Red Star Belgrade - Statistics & Current Form
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Although Red Star Belgrade can undoubtedly look back on a long and successful history, the highlights at the international level have not been shown in recent years. Only for the fourth time since 2010/11 could the Serbian record champions reach the knockout round in the Europa League this season. Thanks to eleven points from six games, the Stankovic team took second place behind TSG Hoffenheim and is now hoping for a surprise in the 1/32 final.
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In the first leg, from the point of view of the Red-Whites, it will be particularly important to get a passable result that preserves the chances of progressing for the second leg in the coming week. Defensive work will therefore be of enormous importance in order to avoid conceding an away goal. The Eastern Europeans want to build on the proper performances in the preliminary round, where they kept the clean slate three times in the second half.
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In the domestic league, the record is also very good. 19 wins are compared to two draws. The undisputed front runner is therefore still unbeaten, has nine points ahead of city rivals Partizan and also has by far the best defense in the country with only eight goals conceded. Across all competitions, Crvena Zvezda have already achieved 18 clean sheets (!).
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Are both teams minimizing the risk?
Even if the opposition usually does not have the Rossoneri caliber, the Belgraders can also make a defensive compact appearance against the favorites. As a result, the bet on the Under 2.5 between Red Star Belgrade and AC Milan seems to be an attractive betting option, especially considering that it is a first leg in which both teams will not yet take great risks.
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It should also be extremely helpful in this endeavor that Coach Stankovic's team is bursting with self-confidence. No wonder, because the 2-0 defeat at TSG Hoffenheim on the first day of the group stage, which also came about with two goals conceded in the course of the second half, was the only bankruptcy after 90 minutes.
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However, the lack of rhythm could be problematic, because on Thursday the red-whites will only play their third competitive game in the calendar year 2021. But it looks quite decent in terms of personnel. With the exception of midfielder Katai, all players are available.
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Expected formation of Red Star Belgrade:
Borjan - Rodic, Milunovic, Degenek, Gajic - Sanogo, Petrovic - Gavric, Ivanic, Nabouhane - Pavkov
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AC Milan - statistics & current form
Since last weekend, AC Milan is no longer at the top of the Serie A table, but only in second place. Due to the surprising 2-0 defeat at home against Spezia, the Pioli-Elf had to let city rivals Inter Milan pass. Next Sunday, the two teams will face each other in a direct duel.
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In this respect, it is not really advantageous that the Rossoneri will still play in Serbia on Thursday evening, while the Nerazzurri will enjoy a full week of preparation. We would therefore not completely rule out the possibility that coach Pioli might start the rotary machine in the first leg of the sixteenth finals in Belgrade.
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This in turn could be a further indication that between Red Star Belgrade and AC Milan, the odds of a maximum of two hits in the course of the game are examined more closely.
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High efficiency as a Milan bargaining chip in the Europa League
Even in the group stage, the Italians did not have an easy time abroad. With the exception of the 3-1 success at Celtic Glasgow, in which the third goal was only scored in stoppage time, the Lombards were offensive behind their own both in the 1-1 win in Lille and the 1-0 win in Prague Expectations back. In the Europa League qualification, bets on less than three hits would have gone through at Rio Ave and Shamrock Rovers.
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The bottom line is that we assume that the favorite will perform in a concentrated manner, but we have doubts as to whether coach Stefano Pioli's team will put everything on one card in the first leg. Even a draw or even a narrow defeat would hardly change the starting position for the second leg. Accordingly, we believe that the focus is on the city duel on Sunday and we are convinced that no fireworks will be lit on Thursday evening.
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Expected formation of AC Milan:
Donnarumma - Dalot, Tomori, Romagnoli, Calabria - Meitè, Bennacer - Hauge, Krunic, Castillejo - Mandzukic
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Direct comparison / H2H
The two clubs have already faced each other four times at international level. All matches took place within the framework of the Champions League or qualification. With two wins and two draws, Milan leads the direct comparison.
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The mark of 2.5 goals was only broken once. However, the games are already at least 14 years in the past and therefore do not have a particularly high significance for the intermediate round 2020/21.
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Betting base forecast & Serbia Red Star Belgrade - AC Milan Italy tip
At the early kick-off time from 6:55 p.m. on Thursday evening there will be the Red Star Belgrade vs. AC Milan match. The betting odds show advantages for the Italians, but are still not as clear as one could have guessed.
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The reasons for this are obvious, because on the one hand the hosts have only lost one competitive game in all competitions this season. On the other hand, the Rossoneri recently had problems drawing on the existing potential, especially against supposedly weaker teams. At the weekend, for example, it was a 2-0 defeat at home against Spezia.
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To make matters worse, from the point of view of the Pioli team, the city duel against Inter, which is very important for the championship, is already on the program on Sunday. It is quite possible that the coach will take this into account, especially since Thursday will only be the first leg on Thursday.
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We therefore decide between Red Star Belgrade and AC Milan for the tip on the under 2.5. With the tested bookmaker 888sport we at least get a 1.95 at the top and risk using an average of five units. You can find other analyzes and recommendations in our Europa League Tips betting base section.
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