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Lazio Rom vs. AC Milan: tip, prognosis & odds 04/26/2021 - ITALY: Serie A Free soccer tips

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Lazio Rom - AC Milan: Tips, prognosis and odds  - ITALY: Serie A

 

The 2020/21 season is drawing to a close with great strides. The last matchday will take place in less than a month, so that there is still enough preparation time for the European national players with a view to the EM 2021. The last weeks of the season promise enormous excitement in many places, in Italy, for example, the motto is "make three out of four”.

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The fight for the Champions League starting places two to four is completely open, the teams in places two to five are only separated by three points. Before the 33rd matchday, the Rossoneri rank second, which will close the matchday on Monday evening. In Rome, Lazio and AC Milan face each other in the top game.

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In addition to the hate duel between Fiorentina and Juventus Turin, this duel is the second big highlight of this weekend. The home side of head coach Simone Inzaghi are currently in sixth place, but still have some catching up to do. With a strong season finish, even CL participation is realistic for Lazio.

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A prerequisite for this, however, would be a win on Monday at the home Olimpico Stadium. The best bookmakers offer betting odds in the range of around 2.20 for the home side at Lazio Rom vs. AC Milan. If the guests win, more than three times the stake beckons. The game starts on Monday at 8:45 p.m.

Direct comparison / H2H

In the current Serie A table, AC Milan have eight points more than the eleven from the capital. Not only the momentum speaks for the guests from Milan, but also the direct comparison in the recent past. The Rossoneri won four of the last six league games against Lazio Rome. Among other things, the Pioli-Elf succeeded in the first leg of the current season (one day before Christmas) thanks to a last-minute goal from Theo Hernandez a lucky 3-2 success.

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Lazio Rome - statistics & current form

On matchday 21, Lazio was briefly fifth in the table, otherwise the current sixth place in the table was the highest of feelings for the Romans. Nevertheless, the Inzaghi-Elf can still have small hopes for another Champions League participation. For this, however, there must be no more slip-ups in the remaining seven games.

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The winning streak was suddenly stopped

Before the top game last Thursday at the foot of Mount Vesuvius, the Romans delivered strong results. After five wins en suite, the team was full of self-confidence, but had a bitter evening at the Diego Armando Maradona stadium. Without head coach Simone Inzaghi, who is currently represented by Massimiliano Farris due to a positive test result, Lazio were already 4-0 down after 65 minutes.

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The brief rebellion thanks to the goals of Immobile and Milinkovic-Savic was suddenly stopped by ex-Wolfsburg Victor Osimhen. The violent 2: 5 defeat meant a major setback in the battle for the premier class.

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Goals are to be expected from the Romans

The guest appearance in the Partenopei once again clearly revealed the major weak point of Lazios - the defensive. With 46 goals conceded in 31 league games, the Romans conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game. For a top team that has such great ambitions, a catastrophic value. Even Atalanta Bergamo, who, as is well known, almost only know the way forward, have "only" conceded 39 goals.

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The extremely weak defense and a strong offensive around Ciro Immobile (17 goals this season) ensures many hits in games with Lazio participation. On average, 3.19 goals were scored per Lazio game in 2020/21. There have been three or more hits in five of the last seven league games. The betting base odds comparison delivers on Monday at Lazio vs. AC Milan for the prognosis on the over 2.5 odds in the range of 1.65.

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Expected formation of Lazio:

Reina - Acerbi, Radu, Marusic - Fares, Luis Alberto, Leiva, Milinkovic-Savic, Lazzari - Immobile, Caicedo

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AC Milan - statistics & current form

For 18 match days - almost half a season - AC Milan led the table in the Italian Serie A. After years of disappointment, hope has returned to the Rossoneri in recent months. Even if the first championship title has not become a reality since the 2010/11 season, the Rossoneri are playing by far the best season in almost a decade.

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Disappointing home record

For the last six league games of the current season, it is now a matter of fixing a place in the top four in order to be able to realize the CL qualification, which was already believed to be safe. In the calendar year 2021, the Pioli protégés could no longer confirm the constancy of 2020 and repeatedly had to cope with setbacks.

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The fact that the local San Siro stadium cannot necessarily be declared as a fortress is extremely striking. To be able to show only a 7-5-5 home record as second in the table is not convincing. Last weekend they suffered a disappointing 2-1 defeat in their home game against US Sassuolo, with only two wins in the last eight home league games.

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13 wins in 15 away games

The appearances of the Rossoneri in a strange place are all the more convincing. In 15 league games so far, the Milanese have celebrated no fewer than 13 wins. Only in the away games against CFC Genoa (2: 2) and Spezia Calcio (0: 2) did Milan suffer defeats. In view of an average of 2.67 points per away game, the prognosis for the away win at odds of over 3.00 has to offer great value at the game Lazio Rom vs. AC Milan on Monday.

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In terms of personnel, Stefano Pioli has to do without the gold scorer from the first leg, Theo Hernandez, in the top game. There is still a small question mark behind Zlatan Ibrahimovic, who recently extended his contract.

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Expected formation of AC Milan:

Donnarumma - Dalot, Tomori, Kjaer, Calabria - Calhanoglu, Meite, Kessie, Saelemaekers - Rebic, Leao

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Betting base forecast & Italy Lazio Rom - AC Milan Italy tip

For the hosts, the top game is definitely the game of the last chance and the CL dream would already be over if there was a draw. The guests from Milan would remain in the race for the premier class even in the event of a defeat, but the momentum would slowly but surely be a cause for concern. Due to the strong away statistics of the Rossoneri, the clear favorite role of Lazio Rom vs. AC Milan seems a little surprising according to current odds.

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Lazio won five times in a row before the Naples bankruptcy and presented themselves in good shape, but the Rossoneri are extremely strong on an unfamiliar place this season. An average of 2.67 away points speak a clear language and that is why the value tip for risk-averse people is the bet on the draw-no-bet market. With a clear conscience, the direct tip on the away win can also be alluded to in Lazio vs. AC Milan - value is definitely there.

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