Hoffenheim 1899 - Bayern 01/18/2019 Free soccer tips
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The eighteenth round of the Bundesliga will begin in Sinsheim, where the German champion of the last six years will pay a visit. However, the local Hoffenheim is famous for its fighting qualities and ability to impose a struggle on any opponent, so there will not be any Munich
The pyatimatchevaya draw series, which happened to the Peasants before the winter pause, threw them to the seventh position with 25 points and the statistics of the balls 32:23. The last opponents of Nagelsmann's wards in the Bundesliga were Mainz (1: 1), Werder Bremen (1: 1), Borussia M (0: 0), Wolfsburg (2: 2) and Schalke (1: 1). Nevertheless, in the new year Hoffenheim expects to play the six-point handicap from the top 4 and again present Germany in the Champions League.
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But for Bavaria, the first round was not the best way. Now Munichs are only second, having 36 points and the goal difference is 36:18. But the current pyatimatchevaya winning streak again returned the charges of Kovacs in the title race and allowed them to gain confidence in their abilities. In the extreme rounds, the Bavarians consistently coped with Eintracht (3: 0), RB Leipzig (1: 0), Hanover (4: 0), Nuremberg (3: 0) and Werder Bremen (2: 1).
Predictably, the favorites of this meeting are more powerful guests in the game plan. They are eager to start the second part of the season on a positive note and earn the next three points in their piggy bank, which is quite possible for the eminent Munich.
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Bavaria wins at 1.6
Experts of the information and analytical website Bookmakers.rf gave a forecast for the match of the 18th round of the German championship Hoffenheim - Bavaria, which will be held at the Wirsol Rein-Neckar-Arena stadium on Friday, January 18, beginning at 22:30 (MSK ).
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HOFFENHEIM - BAVARIA. WHO FAVORITE MATCH?
In this game, bookmakers bet on the victory of Bavaria. The first round of the championship in Germany Munich club finished in second place, gaining 36 points and six points behind the Borussia Dortmund. In the last match of 2018, Bavaria defeated on the road the former club of their mentor - Niko Kovac, Eintracht with a score of 3: 0. The double in that meeting was marked by Frank Ribery, and the winning point was put by Rafinha. It was the fifth consecutive victory of Bavaria. At the same time, she has not missed four matches in a row, although she couldn’t play zero in nine recent meetings before. In addition, in the last five rounds, she scored only one victory in less than 12 first. On the road, Bayern won three previous matches with a total score of 9: 1. Its lineless series continues, numbering 22 guest matches - 18 wins and four losses.
Hoffenheim before this round takes the seventh place with 25 points. 2018 he completed a series of six draws. And before that, the wards of Julian Nagelsmann won four times in a row. In their field, the team is not losing five games in a row, but it won only two times in eight previous meetings with the same number of defeats and four draws. It is worth noting that in 9 of the last 11 home games Hoffenheim both scored and missed.
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HOFFENHEIM - BAVARIA. HOW PLAYED BETWEEN ME?
The confrontation of these teams has 21 matches and only two of them won Hoffenheim, while Bavaria won 14 meetings with five draws. Including she beat Hoffenheim in the first round of the current championship draw in Germany with a score of 3: 1. True, both of her defeats in the confrontation with this opponent fell on the last two matches in Sinsheim - in April 2017, Bavaria lost here with a minimum score of 0: 1, and in September of the same year she lost to Hoffenheim in his field with a score of 0: 2.
FORECAST FOR MATCH HOFFENHEIM - BAVARIA
Experts site Bookmakers.rf believe that the chances of Bavaria in this game are overvalued and it will not be able to beat Hoffenheim. In this case, the best bet will be on winning the home team with a handicap (+1). In the bookmaker's 1xStavka predict a victory for Bavaria with a score of 2: 1 or 3: 1 (coefficients 7.50 and 9.50, respectively). Hoffenheim winnings with odds (+1) are accepted with a odds of 1.92.
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RATES / COEFFICIENTS OF BOOKMAK OFFICES FOR MATCH HOFFENHEIM - BAVARIA:
Hoffenheim win - 5.33, draw - 4.60, Bayern win – 1.59.
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"Hoffenheim"
In the Bundesliga, the hosts are the seventh. The team has 25 points and only two points are missing from the Europa League zone. In the event of a defeat, Hoffenheim may lose several positions.
Hoffenheim played a draw in the last 6 matches of the tournament, and the last time in August won Ausburg with a score of 2: 1. Last time, in their own field, the team took "Mainz", with which it shared 2 points.
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In the home walls, the "blue-whites” also did not win for a long time, because in the last three speeches there was a draw.
Hoffenheim regularly misses, but loses by a margin of no more than one or two goals. The team also almost always upsets the opponent.
Among the injured Rupp. Otto and Kasim in question.
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Bavaria
"Bavaria" Niko Kovacs the second. The team has 36 points, and the nearest competitor, Borussia Munichgladbach, is three points less. The club from Dortmund has a good lead over the Reds and is located at a distance of two victories.
"Bavaria" scored three points in the last 5 performances and the last time the team lost just to Borussia Dortmund in November (3: 2). In addition, it is worth noting that the players of Kovac missed only one goal in the last 5 Bundesliga games.
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If we take into account the country's cups, the series is extended to 7 matches.
On the road, Bavaria won 5 of the last 6 fights, conceding no more than one ball per game. In total, the Bavarians won in 16 of the 19 past guest games.
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Robben, Ribery and Tolisso are in the list of injured players.
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Forecast
Bavaria is a favorite - 1.59 against 5.10. The last time the teams met in August. Then the Reds won 3: 1 at home.
Recently, full-time fights of these teams are encouraging performance. It is also worth noting that in the Bundesliga "Bavaria” did not win against "Hoffenheim” in the last two meetings.
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After such a convincing series, we believe that the "Bavarians” will be able to change the situation. Our forecast is that Bayern will not lose TB 2.5 with a factor of 1.74.
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After almost a month's break, the Bundesliga returns. The second round starts the match between Hoffenheim and Bavaria.
Hoffenheim, despite the performance on two fronts did not fail in the championship. The first round of the team Julian Nagelsman finished right under the European Cup zone. To the area of the Champions League 6 points. In principle, a good position to attack.
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I must say that Hoffenheim noticeably misqualified points. In the end of the first round there was a whole series of matches that ended in a draw, which in most cases Hoff had to win. The team from match to match showed good movement, fatigue became noticeable only in the last match against Mainz, when they played in front of this mid-week.
Bavaria stabilized results closer to the end of the first round. The current series has 5 victories in a row. Only one goal Bayern missed over this period, and it was a very long time. The current dry series of Manuel Neuer is more than 400 minutes.
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After a draw 3-3 with Fortuna, Niko Kovacs changed tactics. Before the match with Fortuna, Bavaria mostly played 4-3-3, but in the last 5 rounds we see more defensive tactics 4-4-2. We will not go into details of why this happened (partially forced measures), but the fact remains that more defensive tactics gave their results, Bayern put things in order in defense.
In general, it is necessary to cancel the problems of Bavaria with a bench. An unusually small bench in the German TOP Club. In the middle of the first round due to the unsatisfactory form of some players and several important losses due to injuries, Niko Kovacs was deprived of maneuver.
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Losses: The owners have one of the three CG Bichakchich miss. In Bavaria Robben + Ribery. Most likely, we will see in the case of the young Canadian talent Alfonso Davis, but hardly in the start.
Hoffenheim is one of the most attacking teams not only in the Bundesliga, but also in general in the TOP leagues. Young coaches are often criticized for their frankly adventurous style in some matches. But with the TOPs, the "village” try to play more reliably in defense. The team is tactically very flexible, as a rule, as part of a lot of permutations, the coach likes to experiment with the schemes.
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Bavaria is now arriving in a dry series, this series allowed us to get out of the crisis. In my opinion, the game can turn out to be tense and not very productive. Usually teams playing 3 defenders against NF play with additional 2 defenders on the flanks. I do not expect performance, and still I will play through the hosts. Hoff is a physically very powerful team, he does not recognize the houses of authorities. A pause is usually in the hands of the underdogs. As long as the favorite did not enter the tone (Bavaria held fees in Qatar, where many public events were for sure), we must try to win them.
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Hoffenheim failed the finish of 2018, starting from October 31 the "village” had 12 matches, winning only twice, with 7 draws and three defeats. The current Hoffenheim episode without victories consists of 8 matches and lasts from November 24th. The team flew out of Euro tournaments, and lost a place in the European Cup zone in the Bundesliga. In the German Championship, the Rural played six matches in a row. With 25 points and a goal difference of 32-23, the team ranks 7th in the table. In his field "Hoff” in the Bundesliga spent 9 games, gaining 13 points, scoring 14 and conceding 9 goals.
Bayern on the contrary, the finish of 2018 held powerfully, not knowing the failures of November 10 and the defeat of Borussia D 2: 3. By the start of the second part of the season Munich fit with a series of 8 matches, winning 6 victories in them, with 2 draws. The first round of the team Nico Kovacs finished in 2nd place with 36 points in the asset and goal difference 36-18. The winning streak in the Bundesliga consists of 5 matches, it is milked from December 1, with a total score of 13-1. Away Bavaria spent 9 matches in the championship, gaining 21 points, winning 7 times and 2 losing, scoring 21 and conceding 8 goals.
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Hoffenheim won the last two home games against Bavaria 1: 0 and 2: 0. Few people can boast of such statistics, but on Friday she will be interrupted by Munich stronger, balancing and will get three points. Bet: Bavaria victory - P2.
Forecast: П2 with coefficient 1.63
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The second part of the season in the Bundesliga, as well as the entire championship as a whole, had the honor of opening Bavaria and Hoffenheim. Five months ago, in Munich, Bavaria won with a score of 3: 1, and the match itself was marked by a number of controversial episodes using a technological innovation in football - the VAR system. In the new confrontation of Hoffenheim and Bavaria, already on the field team from Sinsheim, German football fans are once again waiting for "hot", and this is indicated by several pre-match facts and news at once.
The first reason to believe in intrigue before this battle is the statistics of personal encounters. Bavaria for two seasons in a row can not win on the field Hoffenheim, moreover - Munich lost the opponent twice, without scoring a single goal (0: 2 and 0: 1). The second reason is the personnel problems of the Munich. During the winter break in Bavaria, the situation with the injured has not improved. The team still can not help the veterans Arjen Robben and Frank Ribery, in the hospital also Corentin Tolisso, who continues to recover from the rupture of ligaments.
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In Hoffenheim, compared with the personnel situation of the opponent, peace and quiet. Only midfielder Lukas Rupp has some minor health problems, but the medical headquarters of the club does not exclude his appearance in the application for the match.
Indicative compositions
Hoffenheim: Baumann - Posh, Vogt, Hübner - Kadezhabek, Grillitch, Demirbay, Bittencurt, Schultz - Joelinton, Kramarić
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Bavaria: Neuer - Kimmich, Zule, Hummels, Alabah - Goretsk, Alcantara - Gnabry, Muller, Coman - Lewandowski
The forecast for the match Hoffenheim - Bavaria
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Bayern is a favorite in the eyes of bookmakers, but Niko Kovacs in Sinsheim will not have easy wards, as in the previous two seasons. Young Hoffenheim coach Julian Nagelsmann will definitely want to succeed in the last match against Munich as the coach of this team (in the summer the coach moves to Leipzig), and all the components of the home team have this: victories over the rival, strong personal composition and weakened composition of the opponent.
Suppose that Bavaria is unlikely to win this meeting with an advantage of more than one goal, or it may not be possible to completely take away a full set of points from this exit. In addition, we expect from Hoffenheim at least one scored goal. In the end, it’s not for nothing that this team ranks first in the number of scoring chances created in the Bundesliga of the current season (153), and in the match against such a rival is obliged to run to someone else’s goal with double the motivation.
Who becomes the "autumn champion", he often wins the Bundesliga. Surely because this time the "Bavaria” does not agree.
Free soccer tipsThe first round in the long run failed. Niko Kovacs spent a lot of time and energy to fight against the rejection of his ideas. As far as they are effective, it remains to be proved. It is important that conflicts with the old guard managed to smooth out. The results immediately went up. However, the main claims were not even to the loss of first place. Munich on the game no longer looked like a car. They even shared the initiative and sometimes switched to the game number two, albeit rarely. Bavarian fans hate this "humiliation”. So what did Kovac manage to change during the winter holidays?
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Hoffenheim was also far from perfect. And this is putting it mildly. He again rushed into the experiments during the big matches. It turned out to be a failure in the Champions League. They could not leave the group even in the Europa League. There were protracted periods with bad football and in the Bundesliga. Especially failed to finish the first round. So the seventh place in the table can be considered rather natural and even acceptable. It is clear that Nagelsmann wants more. This is his final season at Hoffenheim. About leaving long announced. Would such a situation affect the mood in the team? Please note that the last in-person meetings were for "Bavaria”, but in Sinsheim, it was periodically played up.
HOFFENHEIM - BAVARIA
Over the last six seasons, Bavaria began the calendar year five times with a victory, while Hoffenheim, for the last ten seasons, only started a year with a victory (= 4–4);
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Hoffenheim has not lost ten rounds in a row (+ 4 = 6) - the best current win-win series in the Bundesliga;
The six previous matches of Hoffenheim in the German Championship ended in a draw. The Bundesliga record belongs to the Waldorf team, which drew eight draws in the 1984/85 season;
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For mentor Juloff Nagelsmann Hoffenheim this will be the 100th match in the Bundesliga;
This season, Bayern scored 21 points (+ 7-2) in the away matches of the championship - the most;
After the first round of the championship Bavaria behind the leader - Borussia Dortmund, by six points. She never managed to play such a lag;
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Frank Ribery scored in the previous three games of the Bundesliga (only 4 goals), although before that he could not score any points on the system Goal + Paz in 11 meetings in a row.
The forecast for the match Hoffenheim - Bavaria according to statistics: both teams will score, and the effectiveness of the meeting will exceed two goals. Win in this game guests.
Free soccer tipsBookmakers.rf report that the players of the bookmaker "League of Stakes" placed most of the bets on the victory of Bavaria - 98% of the total amount of bets on the match, a draw accounted for 1% of the bets, and 1% of bets on the win.
After losing to Dortmund Borussia (2: 3), the Munichs no longer allowed serious misfires. Nico Kovacs wards do not lose for eight games, only two of which could not win. And in the last three meetings before the New Year holidays, Bayern took nine points without missing a single goal. Due to this, the champion came in second place and is now only six points behind Borussia.
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Hoffenheim goes much lower and does not even go to the Europa League zone yet. At the same time, there is no serious lag - a couple of successful games will allow the club from Sinsheim to wipe even the Champions League. True, on the eve of the holidays, the team of Julian Nagelsman issued a series of eight matches without a win in all tournaments. It is encouraging that "Hoffenheim” in the course of this segment lost only twice and missed only 1.5 goals in 90 minutes.
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OPINION OF EXPERTS OF BK LIGA STAVOK ON THE MATCH HOFFENHEIM - BAVARIA:
Bavaria is awaiting a visit to Sinsheim with caution, as she lost the last two games here. At the same time, the Munich club could not even score "Hoffenheim” (0: 1, 0: 2), but managed to rehabilitate itself at their stands (3: 1, 5: 2). Given the shape of the hosts, before the break, Kovacs team has a great opportunity to win at Karl-Benz-Stadion for the first time since August 2015. Will she succeed?
HOFFENHEIM - BAVARIA. TEAM NEWS
Bayern: Arjen Robben and Frank Ribery injured, so do not play in this match.
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HOFFENHEIM - BAVARIA. STATISTICS OF PERSONAL MEETINGS
Hoffenheim won two of the last six matches against Bavaria, one draw and losing three times. Wards of Julian Nagelsmann in these six matches scored seven goals and earned 12 yellow cards. Bavaria scored ten goals and earned five mustard plaster.
HOFFENHEIM - BAVARIA. FACTS STATISTICS BEFORE THE MATCH
Bayern won 16 of the last 19 away matches of the German Championship;
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Hoffenheim tied the last six matches of the German Bundesliga;
In the last six away games of Bavaria in the German Championship and the total total was more than 2.5;
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Bavaria retained the gate intact in the last four matches of the German Championship;
Bayern have not lost in 20 of the last 22 matches against Hoffenheim in all competitions;
Hoffenheim played a draw in the first half and the match entirely in the last three home matches of the German Bundesliga;
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Bavaria scored at least two goals in the last six away matches of the German Championship;
In the last three home games of Hoffenheim in the German Championship, the total total was less than 2.5.
HOFFENHEIM - BAVARIA. WHAT DO TEAMS APPROACH TO A MATCH?
Hoffenheim finished the first part of the season just below the European Cup zone, but it should be noted that the wards of Julian Nagelsmann have not lost in the last ten matches of the German Bundesliga. After six consecutive draws, Hoffenheim must try to break his lose-lose streak in order to continue to fight for European Cup. As for Bavaria, she completed the first part of the season with five victories in a row, and now Niko Kovacs wards are six points behind the leader of the champion race Borussia Dortmund. Bayern suited this match in the status of a favorite, and the expert believes that she should try to justify the status and win. In addition, the expert is waiting for goals from both teams in this match.
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The forecast for the match Hoffenheim - Bavaria from WhoScored expert Daniel Bush: guests win, goals from both teams.
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