Benfica Lisbon vs. Rio Ave FC Tip & Prediction - 03/01/2021 Portugal Primeira Liga Free soccer tips
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Benfica Lisbon - Rio Ave FC tip & prognosis - Portugal Primeira Liga
Record champions under pressure to act
On the 21st matchday of the Portuguese Liga Nos, Benfica Lisbon receives the bottom Rio Ave. The capitals are pretty much in for a treat this season. So they are already 15 points behind their city rival Sporting and have to tremble for a place in the Champions League. In the league, Benfica has big problems scoring goals - hence our tip: in this game there will be "less than 2.5 goals".
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Jesus did not bring an upward trend
From 2009 to 2015, legendary coach Jorge Jesus was on the sidelines of Benfica. This was followed by engagements with rivals Sporting, Hilal in Saudi Arabia and Flamengo Rio. In August of the previous year, the 66-year-old returned to Benfica with high expectations and his team has not yet been able to meet them.
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On the contrary: The eagles are far from their best form and have to tick off the aspired championship title. Opponent Rio Ave has always placed between 5th and 7th place in the last 5 years. In the north-west of Portugal, with 9th place, they are not quite as strong as hoped. Who will win the duel of the dissatisfied? The kick-off is on Monday at 8 p.m.
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BENFICA LISBON
- 4th place in the league
- Recently only 6 points in 5 league games
- Only 5 goals scored in the last 7 games
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RIO AVE FC
- Rank 9 in Liga Nos
- 6 points distance to the relegation zone
- 7 points in the last 4 games
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Benfica in search of itself
The Portuguese cult club, from which legends like Eusebio arose, always sees itself at the forefront of Portuguese football. As a rule, the championship titles are shared with arch-rivals FC Porto. But this year arch-rival Sporting is shaking up the league and is the best way to become the country's new number 1. To make matters worse, it is anything but sporty as desired. In the NOS league they currently only rank fourth. In third place, which qualifies for Champions League qualification, 4 points are missing.
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So you should definitely win against Rio Ave if you don't want to let the gap get bigger. But that will be difficult enough anyway. In the last seven games, the Reds have only won one game and have drawn five times. In none of these games were there more than 2 goals, the goal difference is 5: 4.
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Only on Thursday came the bitter end in the Europa League against Arsenal. For a long time they were in the front, only in the 87th minute did they take the decisive 2: 3 through Aubameyang. It will not be an easy task for Benfica to cope with this disappointment.
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The last 5 league games of the Adler
02/01/2021: Sporting 1-0 Benfica
05.02.2021: Benfica - Guimaraes 0-0
08.02.2021: Benfica - Famalicao 2-0
02/14/2021: Moreiense 1-1 Benfica
02/21/2021: Farense - Benfica 0-0
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Is the Jesus troop expanding their top record against Rio Ave?
If you follow the bare numbers, a Benfica win is actually a safe bet. But numbers don't play football, so caution is advised. In the last 8 games, there have only been wins for the capitals. In 7 of these 8 games there were more than 2.5 goals to be admired - as already mentioned, the current numbers show a completely opposite trend. Of course, coach Jesus knows the opponent well. He has already sat in the dugout 30 times against Rio Ave. He got 24 wins and 3 draws.
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The last 5 duels at a glance
May 12, 2019: Rio Ave - Benfica 2: 3
02.11.2019: Benfica - Rio Ave 2-0
January 14th, 2020: Benfica 3-2 Rio Ave.
June 17, 2020: Rio Ave - Benfica 1: 2
October 18, 2020: Rio Ave - Benfica 0-3
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Rio Ave in the battle for top 10 place
After 20 match days, the coastal club is 9th in the table with 22 points. Realistically this year, 7th place is the maximum, the gap is only 3 points. But much more danger threatens from the lower ranks. A brutal relegation battle is looming in Portugal. The gap between Rio Ave and bottom of the table is only 6 points - half of the NIS league is involved in the relegation battle. So it’s not surprisingly mixed in the championship.
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After 7 points in 3 games, the damper came against the back then Famalicao, against whom they had to take a 0-1 home defeat. It is especially difficult to score goals away from home. In 10 games so far there have been 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats - goal difference 7:13. Far fewer goals are scored in Rio Ave games away than at home. In only 20% of the away games there were more than 2.5 goals. This trend also speaks in favor of an under bet.
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The last 5 away games of the northern Portuguese
December 22nd, 2020: SC Braga - Rio Ave 3-0
03/01/2021: Pacos Ferreira - Rio Ave 2: 0
January 15, 2021: Sporting 1-1 Rio Ave.
02/01/2021: FC Porto 2-0 Rio Ave.
February 13th, 2021: Guimaraes - Rio Ave 1: 3
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One could call Rio Ave a kind of favorite opponent of Benfica Lisbon. Times in a row you have already won against the green and white. The goal difference of 24: 9 speaks a clear language. But the Lisbon team are not nearly as confident and consistent as usual this season.
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Rio Ave conceded relatively few goals away from home. These two facts combined lead us to predict that there will be fewer than 2.5 goals in this game. Anyone who believes that Benfica will win the favorites without conceding a goal can count on lucrative odds up to 2.30.
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