Bayern vs. Leverkusen: Tips, prognosis & odds 04/20/2021 - GERMANY: Bundesliga Free soccer tips
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Bayern - Leverkusen: Tips, prognosis and odds - GERMANY: Bundesliga
It had already been suggested, but Hansi Flick made sure at the weekend with his announcement that he had asked the club to terminate the contract early in the summer, undoubtedly causing the bang in the Bundesliga. Now two crucial questions arise. On the one hand: who will be the next Bayern coach? and on the other hand: How does the team cope with the shock report?
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In view of the internal unrest, it comes as a bit of a surprise that on the Tuesday evening before Bayern's game against Leverkusen, the odds on the home win are so low. We would not necessarily agree with the implied probability of victory of a full 69%, especially since the record champions continue to have to do without important players and incidentally also lost out against the Werkself at home last season.
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Apart from that, the guests from the Rhineland have to be certified with an ascending form curve. In three games under the new coach Hannes Wolf, Bayer recorded seven out of a possible nine points and recently even failed to concede twice. Because Leverkusen could use points in view of the table situation in the Bundesliga, we expect a highly motivated sixth who wants to annoy the front runner.
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Due to the aspects listed, it makes more sense to refrain from a forecast on the three-way market between Bavaria and Leverkusen and instead look to the number of goals. We also recommend taking a look at the practical Bet-at-Home app, which can also be used to make payments with Paysafecard.
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Bavaria - statistics & current form
FC Bayern Munich was once dubbed FC Hollywood by the German media. In the meantime, the situation on Säbener Strasse seemed to have calmed down a bit, but there has been great unrest in Munich for a few weeks and months.
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The two protagonists of the main conflict are Hasan Salihamidzic and Hansi Flick. The disagreements between the two athletes in charge ultimately led the successful coach to want to leave the club in the summer.
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The single-handed Flicks in terms of communication in turn caused discussions and is currently shifting the focus away from the essentials. After all, FCB is still in the race for the championship, although a seven point lead with five games still to go offer a comfortable cushion. Never before has a team gambled away such a lead at this late point in the season
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Bayern in good shape despite internal unrest
If we ignore the aforementioned quarrels, there are hardly any statistical arguments that would prohibit a tip on the hosts between Bayern and Leverkusen. The Munich team have been unbeaten since February 20th, have won six of the past seven matches and have now scored at least one goal in 42 consecutive Bundesliga games. Without Lewandowski, who was still injured, the mark of more than three goals was cracked in only two out of five games in all competitions.
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Because the Polish world footballer is still not available and the whole squabble will certainly not completely bypass the team, we are skeptical whether the front runner can torch another offensive festival or maybe even give up against an uncomfortable opponent. In addition to Lewandowski, Hansi Flick also has to do without Gnabry, Douglas Costa, Roca, Süle and Tolisso in the first game of his personal farewell tour.
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Expected formation of Bavaria:
Neuer - Pavard, J. Boateng, Alaba, Davies - Kimmich, Musiala - L. Sané, T. Müller, Coman - Choupo-Moting
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Leverkusen - statistics & current form
Bayer Leverkusen can hope for the Champions League again. The Werkself are currently only six points short of fourth place. Borussia Dortmund as fifth has only two points more on the account. With Hannes Wolf in the coaching bench, the Rhinelander have achieved the desired turnaround and collected a proud seven points from the first three games under the young coach on loan from the DFB.
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The main priority in his training work was definitely stabilizing the defensive, which was successfully reflected in the results in the last two games. If TSG Hoffenheim only had a goalless draw, 1. FC Köln were brought to their knees 3-0 in the Rhenish derby at the weekend thanks to their enormous efficiency. Should another clean sheet be added in a row on Tuesday, this would mean the longest run to zero in five years.
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Leverkusen away only with twelve goals conceded
What in our opinion makes a prediction of a maximum of three goals in the course of the game likely between Bayern and Leverkusen is also the fact that the guests actually have the best away defense in the Bundesliga. There were only twelve goals conceded in 14 guest appearances. Overall, there were only a little more than two hits on average in the away games with Bayer participation, which can also be cited as an argument.
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In terms of personnel, however, Hannes Wolf, who made the best start at Bayer 04 Leverkusen since Roger Schmidt, still has to do without the injured Baumgartlinger, Lars Bender, Fosu-Mensah and Arias. Many changes in the starting XI are not expected. Once again, the coach and his experienced assistant Herrmann will opt for a defensive approach and pinpricks on the counterattack. The venture does not seem hopeless. The 7.50 at the top for the away win at the tested bookmaker Mr Green is too high in our eyes.
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Expected formation of Leverkusen:
Hradecky - Tah, S. Bender, Tapsoba - Frimpong, Palacios, Aranguiz, Sinkgraven - Diaby, Bailey - Schick
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Bayern - Leverkusen: Direct Comparison / H2H
On Tuesday evening, FC Bayern Munich could become the first Bundesliga team to beat Bayer Leverkusen for the 50th time in the top German division. Especially in their own stadium, the record champions showed no nakedness against the Rhinelander and won six of the past seven home games.
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The only exception was the encounter in November 2019, which went 2-1 to the Werkself. At the same time it was the first defeat for Flick as Bayern coach. The first leg of the current season ended with a 2-1 victory for the reigning champions, who came to victory with the last action of the game by Lewandowski, so that he took over the top position in the league and, in addition, a crisis at Bayer that lasted until recently ushered in.
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Betting base forecast & Germany Bayern - Leverkusen Germany tip
All eyes will of course be on Hansi Flick on Tuesday evening. The triple coach announced his retirement in the summer and will only sit on the bench of the record champions five times. At least Flick's chances of becoming the new national coach have increased significantly.
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Because we cannot conclusively assess to what extent the quarrels are currently influencing the climate within the team and the performance of each individual player, we would refrain from a tip between Bayern and Leverkusen on the home win. The really big pressure no longer weighs on the shoulders of Munich, who should even allow themselves a slip with currently seven points ahead of RB Leipzig.
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Instead, we can well imagine that fewer goals will be scored than expected. The 3.5 goal mark should be difficult to break, especially since the Werkself have the best away defense in the Bundesliga and, under Hannes Wolf alone, remained completely clean in two out of three games. In addition, the reigning title holder is still missing some offensive top performers, which is why we don't necessarily believe in offensive fireworks.
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Between Bavaria and Leverkusen, the odds on below 3.5 promise an attractive value that we would like to take advantage of via the Bet365 app. If successful, you could transfer your money to your bank account quickly and securely using the Trustly payment method.
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